Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 44.753807 51.452134 58.427604 66.202304 74.594806 83.352000 93.151242
2024-10-06 35.253350 44.725432 55.161593 67.381219 81.169757 96.129611 113.471170
2024-10-13 29.844274 40.819457 53.426577 68.706907 86.467719 106.225437 129.634667
2024-10-20 24.765621 36.471932 50.466311 67.973274 88.861876 112.602537 141.248822
2024-10-27 20.218436 32.136928 46.967847 66.095627 89.481620 116.582330 149.816425
2024-11-03 18.525456 31.196632 47.438071 68.844988 95.463628 126.719618 165.464768
2024-11-10 16.699638 29.839655 47.190876 70.550186 100.068495 135.159982 179.095214
2024-11-17 14.151960 27.178536 44.999117 69.582016 101.214022 139.334122 187.581505
2024-11-24 11.965213 24.770720 42.928313 68.580750 102.164646 143.157377 195.563336
2024-12-01 10.440464 23.175032 41.827355 68.734755 104.486711 148.597626 205.461956
2024-12-08 9.127843 21.750013 40.841901 68.941895 106.802372 153.983378 215.272688
2024-12-15 8.088364 20.644060 40.221525 69.572087 109.616840 159.964363 225.808910
2024-12-22 6.792772 18.938698 38.610585 68.768258 110.531619 163.587913 233.518655
2024-12-29 6.094122 18.222461 38.448903 69.977741 114.118946 170.618694 245.505705
2025-01-05 5.502870 17.625479 38.416943 71.334777 117.885234 177.877201 257.795582
2025-01-12 4.586576 16.228342 36.996915 70.583698 118.722799 181.325973 265.278074
2025-01-19 3.605642 14.489709 34.868163 68.660956 117.853746 182.490280 269.820665
2025-01-26 3.458773 14.611393 35.879696 71.476180 123.587958 192.314208 285.418773
2025-02-02 3.170342 14.347900 36.198721 73.221729 127.824769 200.185469 298.554456
2025-02-09 2.559914 13.150843 34.786828 72.230694 128.153894 202.869479 305.030871
2025-02-16 2.034349 12.024482 33.402802 71.205655 128.377327 205.374943 311.254717
2025-02-23 1.701252 11.347085 32.790955 71.363326 130.272178 210.101196 320.352041
2025-03-02 1.416052 10.726654 32.235278 71.575390 132.224708 214.897810 329.547169